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The effects of Hurricane Sandy have of course been on my mind. I've not been sure what to say about it - of course, sympathy for those affected, and various striking similarities and striking differences compared with what the central Gulf Coast experienced in 2005.

All too familiar are the images of masses of flood totaled automobiles, flooded homes and businesses, worse effected neighborhoods totally smashed to rubble, more intact neighborhoods without electricity, blocks of buildings burned down. MREs, very long lines for gasoline when there was any at all.

No shortage of differences, big and small.

Some post-Katrina tips don't seem relevant here, like if your fridge had anything in it when you evacuated, after 40 days without power in hot summer heat, don't think of trying to open it, just tape the door shut and haul it to the curb (and use it as a billboard to write your frustrations on).

Greater New York didn't have a Federal anti-flood system that was supposed to prevent the worst of the damage but experienced at slew of catastrophic failures when put to the test.

Going through a major disaster is damn unpleasant and a long term inconvenience no matter what the circumstances. But getting water, food, and basic survival supplies to those in need, as opposed to not doing so even when there was capability to do so, makes a huge difference. There used to be a bipartisan consensus on this. I hope there will be again henceforth.

Here's what Paul Krugman says in the New York Times:

"Sandy Versus Katrina" by Paul Krugman, New York Times

Mirror of text behind cut )
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Some post Isaac analysis on one of the essential New Orleans blogs, "Fix the Pumps". Yipes. In short, nope things ain't fixed yet, some preventable serious close calls, and if you think of the Surge & Watabode as bumbling, the ACOE who we now rely on to keep from flooding make the S&WB look like Nobel Prize winners.

Fix the Pumps: Isaac in New Orleans - what we know so far
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Much of the city still without electricity. Tonight is my first chance to access internet since the storm. The city escaped major flooding, but got wind damage. Some other parts of S. E. Louisiana were not so fortunate.

Issac Tree on Car 1
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I'm planning on riding out TS/Hurricane Issac, in the highest 30% of New Orleans. Looks serious, though not a monster like K*tr*n*.

One of the underreported issues here is the dubious quality pumps put from Bushco crony contractors put in by ACOE instead of proven designs.

http://www.nola411.com/2012/08/failed-pumps-at-corps-pumping-station.html
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WDSU: Congressman: BP Plans Lacked Hurricane Consideration

BP's Gulf of Mexico oil spill response plans have no provisions for the possibility of hurricanes or tropical storms.

(I guess they consider it much less likely than Gulf of Mexico tropical walruses.)
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Some background to illustrate a point relevent to my previous post.

New Orleans hundreds of years of history has multiple examples of floods from semi-tropical downpours, hurricanes, and levee failures.




What happened in 2005 was radically different.



More illustrated history )

In short:

There's a difference between a flood that gets your feet wet in the street



And one that drowns you in your attic.



Heck of a job, MRGO.
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From Times-Picayune advice for the new President

"The only advice I have is not to go on vacation during a hurricane." -- Mary Willis, 17, New Orleans
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Galveston area after Ike:

Authorities vow to force holdouts off Texas coast

Seems to be the accepted operating procedure now. When things get tough, government does a forced removal of citizens, including (especially?) those who were well prepared to deal with tough times.

"The Texas attorney general's office is trying to figure out how legally to force the holdouts to leave, Yarbrough said. Local authorities are prepared to do whatever it takes to get residents to a safer place."

Hm, they're supposedly looking for some tissue covering of legality? Did anyone ever figure out what if anything was used in New Orleans? I've heard Louisianas were supposedly declared "squatters" for living in their own homes. Anyone get an actual legally plausible explanation while being hustled out? I know many were yoinked by guardsmen with the clothes on their back (some of the nicer guardsmen gave a couple minutes and let people carry a bit on their person) before being hustled out and taken to camps in distant states and refused to give information on where they were being taken until they arrived.
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I was thinking about posting something about this, but as [livejournal.com profile] louismaistros has done so sooner and better, please go read what he has to say if you haven't already.
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Subtext of the coverage of Hurricane Ike: In Houston that they're talking about downed signs, sunken yachts, and people without power (as opposed to, say, neighborhoods flattened and people trapped in their attics by flooding) looks to be a sign that things are not nearly as bad as feared there.

Things worse in Galveston and Corpus Christi, though not yet clear just how much worse.

Of course at this point after Katrina, the media hadn't yet checked out anything other than the French Quarter and Canal Street.
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"The most hated three words in New Orleans this summer:

CONE OF PROBABILITY"
-- [livejournal.com profile] docbrite

While the National Weather Service still has us within Hurricane Ike's "Cone of Probability", as of this afternoon for the first time ALL the Weather Underground computer models now have it going to Texas.

Yay for not evacuating twice in a month (same number of times I evacuated in all the 1980s and 1990s).
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Category 4.

Final preparations for bugging out underway.
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Barring a major change in the track of Gustav, Hollie and I will be bugging out Sunday morning.

I've seen no indication that Gustav is going to be a mega-storm like Katrina (Rita, Ivan, or Wilma), but no Hurricane is nice. And while forcasting technology keeps improving, Hurricanes are still pretty unpredicatable. We're able to take some time out of town so we'll do so.

The radio station is closing down and going off the air midnight tonight (!). Our post-K studio & offices are in a city owned building in the high ground of the French Quarter, which is apparently being commondeered for the storm.

Echoes of 2005: It looks like again I'm going to the Krewe of OAK parade the last Saturday in August then driving out of town early the next morning.
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H and I are contemplating it might be road trip time again, as Hurricane Gustav is forcasted to be heading to the central Gulf Coast.

I've never seen so much activity while a storm was this far out before. There were lines at gas stations in Chalmette 2 days ago and some buildings Uptown being boarded up yesterday. While I always keep an eye on storm threats, the early track projections heading straight towards us didn't worry me much, as one thing I don't recall any hurricane doing is continuing in a straight line for 6 days.

I'll be keeping an eye on the National Hurricane Center website, and the birds. The birds bugged out the Saturday before Katrina; if they go I'm not sticking around. Rumors have it that Da Mayor may issue an evacuation order way early and at lower hit possibility than Ivan etc.

Of course people here have their minds on the terrible scenes from this time 3 years ago







The horror... the horror...

T.S.!

Dec. 30th, 2005 06:11 pm
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Tropical Storm Zeta is in the Atlantic. Zeta!

Looks like the calendar year is ending in time for them not to have a Hurricane Omega. This year.

This year we found out what they do when they run out of alphabetical names. Let's hope that next year we don't get to find out what they do if they run out of the Greek alphabet. (Hebrew? Sanskrit? Maya heiroglyphics? "Hurricane Zotz"?)

Will there be a year round hurricane season? We do not approve.
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New Yorker article on Hurricanes Betsy and Katrina in New Orleans:

High Water: How presidents and citizens react to disaster

Post Rita

Sep. 24th, 2005 09:26 pm
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So, Rita clobbered Beaumont and Lake Charles, and evacuees will be heading back to Houston and the coast over the next couple of days-- so even if we could go back to New Orleans now, sounds like a hard time to negotiate the route between here and there.

At least no NEW levee breaks in New Orleans, as far as i've heard, just more of the same. As has been usual for a while, more contacting and hearing of people back home who had adventurous escapes, more stories of beautiful homes full of unique art flooded. Fortunately no new notes of deaths; there are still folks we're concerned about unaccounted for.

There were fears of storms, but it was a beautiful day here in Austin. We went to Highland Mall where I got to meet some nice trad jazz musicians AND saw Hello Kitty.

I also went ahead and bought a cheap prepayed Austin area self-phone.

Hope to go home soon, but dunno when "soon" will be, and this is the closest I have to home for now.
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The majority of the part of New Orleans that was already built up in the 19th century (naturally higher ground) survived the flooding of Katrina.

I heard second hand word from an official that in addition to the lake/canal levee patches going (already happening), there are fears that Rita may top or breech the RIVER levee. If so, flooding could be much WORSE, and could destroy much of New Orleans that was spared.

I hope not.

We'll see.
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[livejournal.com profile] mshollie & I got our free Tetanaus & Dyptheria vacinations this morning at a nearby clinic. I have a Snoopy bandage on my arm; Hoille requested a Sponge Bob, but they didn't have any so she settled for Bugs Bunny.

I got a check for $360 (no, I have no idea how they determine the amount) from the Red Cross in the mail yesterday, which H*E*B Supermarket cashed this morning, and I got some groceries for the household. We're getting ready to hunker down for Rita. I am so damn sick of hurricanes. We have friends in Dallas, but we havn't been able to figure that'd be any better (further north: good; further east: bad), so it looks like we'll be riding it out here in Austin.

Last night I played at the Austin Musicians Exchange (something like that) on Guadelup(e) Street. Doc on tuba, guitarist Brett, and me on trombone, with a sax player refugee from Gentilly joining us. Alas, we didn't really know songs in common, but I called for a 12 bar blues and that went well. It was one of those things were various performers take turns doing a couple numbers. It reminded me of the Neutral Ground (old Penny Post) in Uptown New Orleans, but no smoking.

We had some good red beans & rice and cornbread by a displaced New Orleans cook.

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